OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Turkiye Super Lig · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
Fenerbahce 2.00 3 - 0 1.60 Alanyaspor
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.7%76%-10.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 90.1%93%-3.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 86.9%91%-4.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.1%63%-6.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson69.2%18.1%12.7%
xgboost78.0%15.7%6.3%
logistic78.1%15.0%6.8%
Inputs the models saw
FenerbahceAlanyaspor
Elo (pre-match)17801558
Surface Elo17801558
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.60
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game3.002.00
Season goals for / game5.501.00
Season goals against / game0.000.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Fenerbahce: last 5
14 OctAAston Villa0 - 6L
10 OctARizespor3 - 0W
10 OctARizespor3 - 0W
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
20 SepHEyupspor8 - 0W
Alanyaspor: last 5
10 OctHErzurumspor0 - 0D
10 OctHErzurumspor0 - 0D
19 SepACorum2 - 1W
19 SepACorum2 - 1W
12 SepHGoztep2 - 2D
Head to head
18 Jan 2026Alanyaspor2 - 3Fenerbahce
17 Sep 2025Fenerbahce2 - 2Alanyaspor
09 Feb 2025Alanyaspor0 - 2Fenerbahce
30 Aug 2024Fenerbahce3 - 0Alanyaspor
11 Feb 2024Fenerbahce2 - 2Alanyaspor
24 Sep 2023Alanyaspor0 - 1Fenerbahce
19 Mar 2023Alanyaspor1 - 3Fenerbahce
18 Sep 2022Fenerbahce5 - 0Alanyaspor
13 Mar 2022Alanyaspor2 - 5Fenerbahce
24 Oct 2021Fenerbahce1 - 2Alanyaspor
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away9.3910.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.9216.9%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3375.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5962.9%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:23 UTC