| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.7% | 55% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 84% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.6% | 70% | -10.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 74% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.6% | 26.2% | 30.1% |
| xgboost | 44.0% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| logistic | 41.6% | 29.1% | 29.2% |
| Barnsley | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1413 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1413 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Aldershot | 7 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Reading | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Reading | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.60 | 27.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |