| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.4% | 52% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.2% | 81% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.6% | 69% | -9.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 47% | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.5% | 28.1% | 32.3% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 26.3% | 35.1% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 27.7% | 32.4% |
| Yeovil | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Solihull | 4 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | Boston Utd |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Yeovil | 0 - 3 | Boston Utd |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | Yeovil |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |