| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.5% | 45% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.7% | 77% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.4% | 61% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 57% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.2% |
| xgboost | 32.2% | 35.0% | 32.8% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 26.5% | 37.1% |
| Swansea | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1652 | 1684 |
| Surface Elo | 1652 | 1684 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Norwich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Norwich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Lincoln | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Lincoln | 6 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Lincoln | 6 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Braintree Town | 4 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Mar 2018 | Swansea | 4 - 1 | West Ham |
| 30 Sep 2017 | West Ham | 1 - 0 | Swansea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.23 | 44.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.77 | 26.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.16 | 31.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |