| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.2% | 85% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| logistic | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1454 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1454 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Simone Massellani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Ryan Peniston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Fabrizio Andaloro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Stepan Baum | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Petrofsky, David | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.55 | 22.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |