| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.9% | 31% | +10.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 75% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.8% | 43% | +9.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 47% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.2% |
| xgboost | 35.0% | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| logistic | 38.9% | 28.5% | 32.6% |
| Coventry | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1659 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1659 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Tottenham | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Brighton | 0 - 5 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Hull | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Hull | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Walsall | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Fulham | 1 - 3 | Coventry |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Coventry | 4 - 1 | Fulham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.55 | 28.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.19 | 31.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |