| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.2% | 70% | -12.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Tallon Griekspoor | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1887 | 1926 |
| Surface Elo | 1887 | 1926 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Flavio Cobolli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Hamad Medjedovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| 23 May 2022 | Brandon Nakashima | 3 - 0 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |