| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 61% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Taro Daniel | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1666 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1666 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 9 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Khumoyun Sultanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Khumoyun Sultanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |