| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.2% | 47% | +2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.2% | 75% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 63% | +1.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 49% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.5% | 27.1% | 25.4% |
| xgboost | 47.4% | 26.4% | 26.2% |
| logistic | 47.6% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
| Halifax | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1469 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1469 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Sutton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Sutton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Woking | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Halifax | 2 - 1 | Boston Utd |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Boston Utd | 0 - 1 | Halifax |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Halifax | 1 - 0 | Boston Utd |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Boston Utd | 0 - 1 | Halifax |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |