| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 43% | +11.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 61.1% |
| logistic | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Nicolas Bruna | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1349 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1349 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Joaquin Sabina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Franco Ribero | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Garay, Valentin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Tomas Re | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Hernan Casanova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Hernan Casanova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |