| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.3% | 50% | +0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.1% | 75% | +1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.8% | 65% | +1.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 40% | +9.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.3% | 24.9% | 28.8% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 27.0% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 52.9% | 25.0% | 22.1% |
| Harrogate | Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Forest Green | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Forest Green | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Sutton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 0 - 4 | L |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Harrogate | 1 - 2 | Fylde |
| 26 Aug 2019 | Fylde | 0 - 0 | Harrogate |
| 29 Dec 2018 | Harrogate | 1 - 2 | Fylde |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Fylde | 0 - 0 | Harrogate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |