| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.2% | 40% | +7.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 80% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.7% | 52% | +7.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 72% | -16.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.6% | 25.1% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.9% | 32.7% | 30.4% |
| logistic | 33.5% | 28.3% | 38.2% |
| Magdeburg | Hannover | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1447 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1447 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Holstein Kiel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Osnabruck | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | SC Verl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Bochum | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Bochum | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | Karlsruhe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Magdeburg | 1 - 2 | Hannover |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Hannover | 3 - 1 | Magdeburg |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Hannover | 0 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Magdeburg | 0 - 3 | Hannover |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Magdeburg | 0 - 3 | Hannover |
| 20 Oct 2023 | Hannover | 2 - 1 | Magdeburg |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Hannover | 1 - 2 | Magdeburg |
| 19 Aug 2022 | Magdeburg | 0 - 4 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |