OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Aldershot 0.60 0 - 1 0.80 Wealdstone
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.1%44%+3.7%✗ miss
DCHome or away 77.4%80%-2.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 60.9%60%+1.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.9%62%-5.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.4%22.6%31.0%
xgboost46.2%25.1%28.7%
logistic43.5%25.5%30.9%
Inputs the models saw
AldershotWealdstone
Elo (pre-match)13731362
Surface Elo13731362
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.80
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game1.380.92
Season goals for / game1.381.31
Season goals against / game1.231.85
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Aldershot: last 5
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
Wealdstone: last 5
20 OctHNottingham Forest1 - 0W
10 OctHYeovil0 - 6L
10 OctHYeovil0 - 6L
03 OctABarrow1 - 2L
03 OctABarrow1 - 2L
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Wealdstone3 - 0Aldershot
30 Dec 2025Aldershot4 - 1Wealdstone
25 Mar 2025Wealdstone1 - 3Aldershot
09 Nov 2024Aldershot0 - 2Wealdstone
30 Jan 2024Wealdstone3 - 3Aldershot
26 Aug 2023Aldershot3 - 1Wealdstone
18 Apr 2023Wealdstone0 - 1Aldershot
01 Oct 2022Aldershot1 - 2Wealdstone
15 May 2022Aldershot1 - 3Wealdstone
18 Sep 2021Wealdstone2 - 2Aldershot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4540.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.4540.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.9034.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6062.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC