OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ France Ligue 3 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:45 UTC · finished
Paris FC 2.00 3 - 1 1.00 Quevilly Rouen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 58.9%27%+31.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.2%57%+28.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 79.6%38%+42.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.9%60%-3.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson60.0%23.2%16.8%
xgboost61.2%21.8%17.0%
logistic69.4%21.2%9.5%
Inputs the models saw
Paris FCQuevilly Rouen
Elo (pre-match)16991416
Surface Elo16991416
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.00
Form trend0.60-0.30
Season points per game1.331.33
Season goals for / game1.001.17
Season goals against / game1.001.17
Rest days6882
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W1 W · 2 D
Paris FC: last 5
10 OctALorient0 - 1L
10 OctALorient0 - 1L
03 OctAConcarneau1 - 2L
26 SepHBastia1 - 0W
19 SepHStrasbourg2 - 1W
Quevilly Rouen: last 5
03 OctAAS Cannes1 - 3L
03 OctHBourg Peronnas2 - 0W
26 SepHAmiens1 - 1D
24 SepACaen2 - 3L
19 SepHSC Aubagne Air Bel1 - 0W
Head to head
24 Feb 2024Quevilly Rouen0 - 0Paris FC
19 Dec 2023Paris FC2 - 2Quevilly Rouen
28 Jan 2023Quevilly Rouen3 - 1Paris FC
06 Aug 2022Paris FC2 - 1Quevilly Rouen
12 Feb 2022Paris FC3 - 0Quevilly Rouen
28 Aug 2021Quevilly Rouen0 - 1Paris FC
20 Apr 2018Quevilly Rouen0 - 4Paris FC
24 Nov 2017Paris FC2 - 0Quevilly Rouen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.7027.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1546.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6859.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:16 UTC