| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.4% | 79% | -12.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.8% | 25.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| logistic | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Ivan Gakhov | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1286 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1286 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 675 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Palomar, Xavi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Gijs Brouwer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | H | Jelle Sels | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Adria Soriano Barrera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Fabrizio Andaloro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jul | A | Matthew Dellavedova | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |