| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 41.0% | 34% | +6.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.3% | 78% | -3.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.5% | 46% | +8.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 64% | -10.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.7% | 25.9% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 34.1% | 26.3% | 39.6% |
| logistic | 32.3% | 27.4% | 40.3% |
| Sheffield Weds | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1408 | 1575 |
| Surface Elo | 1408 | 1575 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 13 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Accrington | 0 - 4 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Nov | H | Swindon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Berkhamsted FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Alvechurch | 4 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Reading | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Reading | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Plymouth | 0 - 3 | Sheffield Weds |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Sheffield Weds | 4 - 0 | Plymouth |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 0 | Plymouth |
| 25 Oct 2023 | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Sheffield Weds |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 0 | Plymouth |
| 04 Oct 2022 | Plymouth | 2 - 1 | Sheffield Weds |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Sheffield Weds | 4 - 2 | Plymouth |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Sheffield Weds |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |