| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 73% | -15.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Stefano Travaglia | Pierre Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1669 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1669 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Taylor Fritz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |