| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.3% | 65% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Alastair Gray | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 32 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Li Tu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | George Loffhagen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Adrian Boitan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Emile Hudd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Quinn Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |