OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ England FA Cup · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Newport County 1.60 3 - 1 1.60 Walsall
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 39.8%38%+1.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.9%76%-1.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 52.9%53%-0.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.4%53%+2.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.2%27.2%41.6%
xgboost40.8%25.7%33.5%
logistic40.6%29.5%29.9%
Inputs the models saw
Newport CountyWalsall
Elo (pre-match)14021463
Surface Elo14021463
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.60
Form trend0.10-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W4 W · 4 D
Newport County: last 5
03 NovHCrystal Palace1 - 2L
30 OctHChesterfield4 - 1W
30 OctHChesterfield4 - 1W
24 OctACheltenham0 - 1L
24 OctACheltenham0 - 1L
Walsall: last 5
31 OctAColchester3 - 1W
31 OctAColchester3 - 1W
26 OctHSalford2 - 4L
20 OctHOldham3 - 0W
20 OctHOldham3 - 0W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Walsall2 - 1Newport County
08 Nov 2025Newport County2 - 4Walsall
21 Apr 2025Newport County0 - 0Walsall
29 Dec 2024Walsall2 - 0Newport County
10 Feb 2024Walsall0 - 3Newport County
20 Oct 2023Newport County3 - 3Walsall
18 Feb 2023Walsall1 - 1Newport County
06 Aug 2022Newport County0 - 1Walsall
01 Jan 2022Walsall3 - 3Newport County
18 Sep 2021Newport County2 - 1Walsall
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8952.9%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC