| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.3% | 60% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 27.2% | 72.8% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Eva Lys | Elena Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | CE, Gabriela | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Gabriela Ce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Yeonwoo Ku | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Eva Lys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Alexandra Eala | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | Eva Lys |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |