| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.4% | 85% | -18.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| logistic | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1739 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1739 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Nicolas Jarry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.70 | 21.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |