| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 60% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 55.0% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Alibek Kachmazov | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1609 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1609 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Jay Friend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Charles Broom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Gabriele Piraino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Yuta Kikuchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Basing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | 1 - 2 | Jay Friend |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |