OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Dundee 1.40 3 - 1 1.40 Kilmarnock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.0%51%+1.5%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 77.3%77%+0.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 68.0%68%+0.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.5%63%-1.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.7%24.3%28.0%
xgboost56.5%21.1%22.3%
logistic48.9%28.3%22.8%
Inputs the models saw
DundeeKilmarnock
Elo (pre-match)16331596
Surface Elo16331596
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend0.200.40
Season points per game1.751.00
Season goals for / game1.751.25
Season goals against / game1.502.25
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Dundee: last 5
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
Kilmarnock: last 5
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
17 OctHMotherwell3 - 2W
17 OctHMotherwell3 - 2W
10 OctARangers1 - 3L
Head to head
12 May 2026Kilmarnock3 - 1Dundee
11 Apr 2026Kilmarnock2 - 2Dundee
30 Dec 2025Dundee2 - 1Kilmarnock
23 Aug 2025Kilmarnock0 - 0Dundee
10 May 2025Kilmarnock3 - 2Dundee
30 Nov 2024Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
03 Nov 2024Dundee3 - 2Kilmarnock
05 Oct 2024Dundee2 - 3Kilmarnock
18 May 2024Dundee1 - 1Kilmarnock
02 Mar 2024Dundee2 - 2Kilmarnock
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.6627.3%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8226.2%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC