| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.1% | 56% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.1% | 66.9% |
| logistic | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Daria Kasatkina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1569 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1569 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Paula Badosa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Paula Badosa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Anna Bondar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Elvina Kalieva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Xinxin Yao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daria Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Daria Kasatkina |
| 27 Aug 2018 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | Daria Kasatkina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |