| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 86% | -20.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.3% | 77.7% |
| logistic | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Sergey Fomin | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shearer, Matthew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Timofei Derepasko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jie Cui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Sergey Fomin | 1 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.16 | 86.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.75 | 21.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |