| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 52% | +4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.3% | 52.6% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Daniel Milavsky | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1571 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1571 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Nicolas Mejia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Nicolas Mejia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Stefan Kozlov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 0 - 2 | Murphy Cassone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |