| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.5% | 51% | +8.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| logistic | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Theo Papamalamis | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1488 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1488 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Jack Anthrop | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Slavic, N | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Johan Oscar Lien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Hoyoung Roh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Matei Cristian Onofrei | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Young, Gavin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Bor Artnak | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gavin Young | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |