| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.8% | 38% | +11.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 77% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.1% | 51% | +9.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 46% | +5.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.5% | 25.3% | 30.2% |
| xgboost | 37.9% | 23.0% | 39.1% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 27.8% | 33.9% |
| Wycombe | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Wigan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Wigan | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Colchester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Ipswich Town U21 | 6 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Bradford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Bradford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Wycombe | 1 - 2 | Luton |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Luton | 4 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Wycombe | 1 - 3 | Luton |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Luton | 2 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Luton | 3 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 01 Sep 2018 | Wycombe | 1 - 1 | Luton |
| 30 Jan 2018 | Luton | 2 - 3 | Wycombe |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Wycombe | 1 - 2 | Luton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |