| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.0% | 92% | -8.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 93.7% | 6.3% |
| logistic | 85.3% | 14.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1696 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1696 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.18 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Angela Fita Boluda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Deborah Chiesa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Stoyanov, Antonia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Tilwith Di Girolami | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Alice Tubello | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Nguyen Tan, Lucie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Matilde Paoletti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Marianne Argyrokastriti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Rudiukova, Nina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Golovina, Maria | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.25 | 16.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.09 | 91.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |