| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.0% | 67% | -1.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.5% |
| logistic | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alexander Zverev | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2170 | 2048 |
| Surface Elo | 2170 | 2048 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 27 May 2024 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 3 | Alexander Zverev |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Alexander Zverev |
| 09 May 2022 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 25 Oct 2021 | Alex De Minaur | 1 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 06 Jan 2020 | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Alexander Zverev |
| 25 Feb 2019 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 08 Oct 2018 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 30 Jul 2018 | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.70 | 37.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.49 | 67.1% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.60 | 38.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.70 | 37.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.88 | 34.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.52 | 65.8% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alex de Minaur | 2.92 | 34.2% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.53 | 65.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.74 | 36.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.49 | 67.1% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.67 | 37.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.48 | 67.6% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.74 | 36.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.46 | 68.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.75 | 36.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.44 | 69.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.66 | 37.6% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.47 | 68.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.88 | 34.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.52 | 65.8% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alex de Minaur | 2.92 | 34.2% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.53 | 65.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.49 | 67.1% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.74 | 36.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.52 | 65.8% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.63 | 38.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.40 | 71.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.60 | 38.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.47 | 68.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.70 | 37.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.45 | 69.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.75 | 36.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.44 | 69.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.75 | 36.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.44 | 69.4% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.60 | 38.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.70 | 37.0% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.50 | 66.7% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alex de Minaur | 2.60 | 38.5% | 15 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.48 | 67.6% | 15 Oct 06:01 |