| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.6% | 61% | -17.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.4% | 81% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.4% | 77% | -23.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.8% | 73% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 72.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.8% | 24.1% | 41.1% |
| xgboost | 47.1% | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| logistic | 33.2% | 27.9% | 38.9% |
| Betis | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1752 | 1750 |
| Surface Elo | 1752 | 1750 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Chiclana CF | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Barcelona | 2 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Barcelona | 2 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Porto | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Osasuna | 5 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Telstar | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Telstar | 4 - 3 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Como | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.79 | 20.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.68 | 21.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.37 | 73.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |