| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 49% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Erika Andreeva | Simona Waltert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1451 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1451 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Elena Micic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Anastasia Tikhonova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Nadia Podoroska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Petra Marcinko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Mayar Sherif | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Sep 06:15 |