| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.5% | 70% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Max Alcala Gurri | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Maxime Chazal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |