| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 69% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.6% | 91% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.5% | 87% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 42% | +11.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.8% | 26.5% | 21.7% |
| xgboost | 80.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| logistic | 67.4% | 20.7% | 11.9% |
| Boreham Wood | Kidderminster | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1636 | 1445 |
| Surface Elo | 1636 | 1445 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Solihull | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Solihull | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Everton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Harrogate | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Harrogate | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Yeovil | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Yeovil | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2023 | Kidderminster | 1 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | Kidderminster |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.10 | 14.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.10 | 19.6% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |