| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.8% | 78% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 80.3% | 19.6% |
| logistic | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Aleksandar Vukic | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1683 | 1544 |
| Surface Elo | 1683 | 1544 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Laslo Djere | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |