| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.1% | 81% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.2% | 34.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.1% | 21.8% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Felix Balshaw | Matisse Bobichon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Sergio Callejon Hernando | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Alejandro Garcia Carbajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 0 | Matisse Bobichon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |