| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.1% | 37% | +6.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.1% | 73% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.8% | 53% | +4.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 52% | +4.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.6% | 29.4% | 33.9% |
| xgboost | 28.0% | 33.7% | 38.3% |
| logistic | 33.6% | 30.9% | 35.6% |
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1687 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1687 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 6 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Plymouth | 1 - 5 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Ipswich | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Fulham | 3 - 2 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Manchester City | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Peterborough United | 5 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Burton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Coventry | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 05 May 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Crystal Palace |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Crystal Palace | 0 - 0 | Nottingham Forest |
| 28 May 2023 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Crystal Palace |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.88 | 34.7% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.91 | 52.4% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 11 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.63 | 38.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.45 | 29.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.87 | 34.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.99 | 50.2% | 11 Oct 06:15 |