| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 71% | -14.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 42.1% | 57.8% |
| logistic | 42.8% | 57.2% |
| Gerard Campana Lee | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Gabriele Piraino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Gerard Campana Lee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Sebastian Ofner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | Gerard Campana Lee |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |