| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.0% | 85% | -25.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| logistic | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Colin Sinclair | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1434 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1434 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 37 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Rio Noguchi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Linang Xiao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Takuya Kumasaka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Koki Matsuda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Colin Sinclair | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Omar Jasika | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Rigele Te | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Colin Sinclair | 0 - 2 | Rio Noguchi |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.65 | 21.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |