| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 83% | -14.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.6% | 82.3% |
| logistic | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1363 | 1535 |
| Surface Elo | 1363 | 1535 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Julian Cundom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Lorenzo Gagliardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Bautista De La Pena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Valentin Basel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 0 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |