| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 58% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| logistic | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Amit Vales | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Julio Cesar Porras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Odysseas Geladaris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Petros Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Murgett, F | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Jakub Filip | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Talan Lopatic, Luka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Matthew Thomson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Jip Van Assendelft | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Henri Haupt | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |