| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 65% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.4% | 29.8% |
| xgboost | 78.8% | 20.3% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Dallas Stars | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1454 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1454 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.60 | 2.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 3 - 2 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Mar 2026 | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | Dallas Stars |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Dallas Stars | 2 - 3 | New York Islanders |
| 24 Feb 2025 | New York Islanders | 3 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 13 Oct 2024 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 0 | New York Islanders |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 25 Oct 17:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.64 | 37.9% | 25 Oct 17:20 |