OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Italy Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Genoa 1.40 2 - 0 1.40 Juventus
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 53.6%58%-4.2%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 81.6%84%-2.0%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 73.3%77%-4.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.9%56%-0.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.4%28.5%48.1%
xgboost19.7%29.7%50.6%
logistic14.7%24.3%60.9%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaJuventus
Elo (pre-match)15911772
Surface Elo15911772
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend-0.40-0.30
Season points per game2.001.33
Season goals for / game1.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.33
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Genoa: last 5
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
25 OctHVenezia1 - 0W
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
Juventus: last 5
25 OctALecce2 - 0W
25 OctALecce2 - 0W
22 OctHRennes2 - 2D
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
18 OctHLazio0 - 3L
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Juventus2 - 0Genoa
31 Aug 2025Genoa0 - 1Juventus
29 Mar 2025Juventus1 - 0Genoa
28 Sep 2024Genoa0 - 3Juventus
17 Mar 2024Juventus0 - 0Genoa
15 Dec 2023Genoa1 - 1Juventus
06 May 2022Genoa2 - 1Juventus
05 Dec 2021Juventus2 - 0Genoa
11 Apr 2021Juventus3 - 1Genoa
13 Dec 2020Genoa1 - 3Juventus
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7357.8%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8825.8%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.4818.2%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7955.9%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC