| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 57% | +0.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1602 | 1730 |
| Surface Elo | 1602 | 1730 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Guido Ivan Justo | 2 - 1 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |