| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.2% | 70% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.2% | 91% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.2% | 87% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 76% | -16.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 64.5% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| xgboost | 84.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| logistic | 70.6% | 19.2% | 10.2% |
| Boreham Wood | Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1657 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1657 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Middlesbrough | 7 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Woking | 3 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Altrincham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Southend | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Southend | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Carlisle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Boreham Wood | 4 - 0 | Fylde |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Fylde | 2 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Fylde | 1 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Boreham Wood | 0 - 2 | Fylde |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | Fylde |
| 24 Nov 2018 | Fylde | 2 - 1 | Boreham Wood |
| 09 Dec 2017 | Boreham Wood | 1 - 0 | Fylde |
| 05 Aug 2017 | Fylde | 2 - 2 | Boreham Wood |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.90 | 17.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.10 | 19.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.32 | 75.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.25 | 30.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |