OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-17
🎾 ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles · Thursday 17 September 2026, 08:40 UTC · finished
Bernard Tomic 1.80 2 - 0 0.60 Jake Delaney
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 73.6%79%-5.8%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov74.8%25.2%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost72.1%27.9%
logistic70.3%29.7%
Inputs the models saw
Bernard TomicJake Delaney
Elo (pre-match)16361398
Surface Elo16361398
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.60
Form trend0.60-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1010
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Bernard Tomic: last 5
15 SepHKikuchi, Yuta2 - 0W
14 SepHPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepAAlexandr Binda2 - 0W
14 SepHJake Delaney2 - 0W
14 SepHYuta Kikuchi2 - 0W
Jake Delaney: last 5
15 SepHBar Biryukov, Petr0 - 2L
15 SepHShiraishi, Hikaru2 - 1W
14 SepABernard Tomic0 - 2L
14 SepAHikaru Shiraishi2 - 1W
07 SepHPavel Kotov0 - 2L
Head to head
14 Sep 2026Bernard Tomic2 - 0Jake Delaney
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.8026.3%17 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2480.7%17 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 22:44 UTC