| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.3% | 54% | +0.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.8% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Martha Matoula | Serban, R | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Alisa Oktiabreva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Nguyen Tan, Lucie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Matilde Paoletti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Marianne Argyrokastriti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Rudiukova, Nina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Nuria Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Giorgia Pedone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Sapfo Sakellaridi | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |