| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.8% | 38% | +9.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 81% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.0% | 51% | +7.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 47% | +5.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 28.4% | 33.9% |
| xgboost | 36.1% | 27.9% | 35.9% |
| logistic | 33.4% | 29.6% | 37.0% |
| Annan Athletic | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1311 | 1423 |
| Surface Elo | 1311 | 1423 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.89 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 5 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Stirling | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Stirling | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Queen of the South FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Forfar | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Edinburgh City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Edinburgh City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 4 - 3 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Berwick Rangers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Elgin | 5 - 1 | W |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Stranraer | 0 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | Stranraer |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Stranraer | 0 - 0 | Annan Athletic |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Annan Athletic | 2 - 2 | Stranraer |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Stranraer | 0 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Annan Athletic | 0 - 0 | Stranraer |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Stranraer | 1 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Annan Athletic | 1 - 1 | Stranraer |
| 30 Jul 2022 | Stranraer | 1 - 0 | Annan Athletic |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Annan Athletic | 4 - 1 | Stranraer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |