| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 85% | -30.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.3% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Milani, Bruno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Justin Roberts | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Mateus Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Jose Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |