| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.0% | 68% | -0.5% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1962 | 1802 |
| Surface Elo | 1962 | 1802 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 27 | 31 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 03 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Dillon Beckles | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Jaime Faria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Aug | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | James Duckworth | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Cruz Hewitt | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |